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Much of the onus for the increasing black market is put on increasingly restrictive policies enforced by regulators across the licensed sector.

Taking a deeper look at these restrictive driving black market activity, up to 46% of the markets covered in the report enforced “significant advertising restrictions” on the regulated market, including in Belgium, Bulgaria, Coratia, Cyprus, Germany, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Montenegro, the Netherlands, Poland, Romania and Spain.

Additionally the report cited taxing consumers (in 29% of the 28 markets covered), and banned products (14%), were also propelling growth in illegal gambling. A lack of choice, due to monopolies in place in five markets has also driven the rise.

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The lesson is simple: gambling still attracts capital when the money is visible. It is less attractive when the payoff lies far in the distance.

The biggest new uncertainty in US sports betting is prediction markets. The American Gaming Association estimates that Americans will legally wager $29.5 billion in betting handle through US regulated commercial sportsbooks during the 2026 NFL season, broadly unchanged from the $29.4 billion handle recorded in 2025. These figures refer to the amount wagered, not sportsbook revenue.

Robinson calls prediction markets “the main event”. His argument is not simply that US customers are moving from sportsbooks to prediction markets. The more important point is that sportsbooks no longer have the relatively protected market that was once assumed.

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For NetEnt, now part of Evolution’s game-supply operation, Demon Beats fits a pattern. The studio tends to iterate on proven mechanical families rather than pivot into adjacent categories such as crash or instant-win formats. The Avalanche engine is a durable part of the studio’s identity, and returning to it positions Demon Beats as a portfolio continuation rather than an experiment.

The staggered rollout matters too. With early access preceding general availability, operators get a short exclusivity window before the game reaches the wider market. For an established supplier, that structure shows how NetEnt keeps leaning on brand-recognizable mechanics to stay competitive against a crowded field of content providers.

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