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In January, Polymarket and Dow Jones announced an agreement that paved the way for event contract data to appear on various Dow Jones sites, including The Wall Street Journal. Dow Jones also owns Barron’s, Investor’s Business Daily and MarketWatch, among other media properties.
Polymarket also has marketing deals with Major League Baseball (MLB), Major League Soccer (MLS), the NHL and UFC.
While the Polymarket/Yahoo Finance situation is one of the earliest examples of a severed relationship between a prediction market operator and a media entity, that doesn’t mean those “divorces” will permeate the two industries.
How to play Kamakura
Relax Gaming has expanded its reach in the regulated gambling market in Denmark with the introduction of the Dream Drop product locally. The popular supplier and aggregator of award-winning content has signed a new partnership with FDJ UNITED.
The partnership extends the feature to Unibet and Maria Casino, which are part of the FDJ UNITED group. Relax Gaming Jackpot Business Owner Alastair Smith has welcomed the opportunity to collaborate with the group on this launch, adding:
“We’re delighted to announce the launch of Dream Drop in another regulated market. The Danish player profile is an excellent fit for the unique jackpot experience that Dream Drop offers, and early results have exceeded expectations.”
How to play Kamakura
For now, the growth provides room for multiple market makers. Marantelli expects margins to “stay good during the growth period” before contracting as competition intensifies. The more complex RFQ and parlay markets may offer the best protection against that compression.
The result is an emerging ecosystem that looks less like millions of customers casually trading predictions with one another and more like an outsourced sportsbook trading room. Exchanges own the platform and recruit the customers; specialist firms price the risk and provide the money needed to make those markets function.
As Marantelli says: “Let’s call a spade a spade.”